Online casino games come with a range of varied odds. Finding which titles provide the best chances is not as easy as you may think.
Not every online casino game gives you the same chance of winning. Some pay back far more over time than others, but the lobby won't tell you which. It's built to pull you in with bright graphics and big-win banners, and with an estimated 4,000 online casinos competing for players, according to IBISWorld, that's no accident. Most people pick games by how they look and play on luck. The players who do better check the numbers first.
What is a Return to Player Rating or House Edge?
Most online casinos now cover several types of games rather than just one. Make a Vegastasr login, and you'll find table games, pokies, and crash games, with live versions of many titles on top. That range gives you plenty to choose from, but it also makes it harder to know which games give you the best chance. Two numbers help cut through it: RTP and volatility.
The return to player rating (RTP) and house edge are opposite sides of the same coin. Both essentially tell you how much a game pays back to the player (RTP) and how much the casino keeps (House edge).
A return to player rating is expressed as a percentage figure. This tells you how much a game pays back to customers, though they must understand this is worked out over thousands of spins. Imagine tossing a coin: Heads may arrive 10, 11, or 12 times in a row. Yet if you flipped it thousands of times, you would expect a 50/50 balance to arrive.
If a player took part in a 97% RTP game and wagered $100 over thousands of spins in small increments, then they could expect to get $97 back. The house edge is the percentage that remains, so $3 would go back to the casino. A full table of the best house edge caisno game sis below, according to the American Gaming Association.
| Game |
House Advantage |
Notes |
| Video poker |
0.5% - 5% |
N/A |
| Blackjack |
0.5% - 1.5% |
Can increase depending on pays |
| Roulette |
2.7% |
Based on European single zero game |
| Baccarat |
1.1% - 1.2% |
Increase if a tie is selected |
| Slots |
2.5% - 6% |
Can vary wildly depending on developer |
| Keno |
8% - 15% |
Based on video keno |
| Craps |
1.4% |
Based on pass/don't pass |
The Concept of Volatility
Volatility is important to those who want to play slot games. It dictates the frequency with which a game pays out, making it extremely different from the return-to-player rating, which provides the amount. Games with a high volatility will pay out infrequently, but in larger amounts when they do. Games with low volatility levels will pay in small amounts, but more often.
Imagine the player mentioned in the RTP section, who plays a game that has a 97% rating. If they did this on a low-volatility title, they would get the $97 paid back to them in small amounts, perhaps in wins of $3 and $4 every few spins. If they played a high-volatility game, they may go for some time without anything, then get a $40 windfall, followed by a $57 win after another large period of nothing.
Before you deposit, spend two minutes on the game's info page. Look for four things: the RTP, the volatility, the minimum and maximum bet, and the rules for any bonus features. A pokie listed at 96% RTP with medium volatility tells you far more than its theme or artwork ever will.
Vegastars puts these details on each game's page, so you can compare a 97% title against a 94% one side by side. That gap looks small, but on a $1 spin it's the difference between losing 3 cents and 6 cents on average. Over thousands of spins, that adds up. If a game hides its RTP, skip it. Your budget lasts longer on a game that gives more back.
Why Video Poker Rules the Roost
Video poker is quite different from standard poker games. They are designed to be played against others, where money goes into a pot, and players take winnings from each other. Video poker is designed as a solo player's game. The hands remain the same, but players try to get the best one to win from a paytable owned by the house. In this way, it can combine the random, quick-play nature of slots with the skill elements of five-card draw poker.
While the odds depend on the paytable, they will always remain high. The advantages of this game are listed below.
- 0.5% - 5 house edge
- Rare variants like Full Pay Deuces Wild can pay negative house edges -0.76%
- Can be optimised with mathematical strategy cards
Why Online Blackjack Is the Strategist's Choice
When online blackjack is played with basic strategy, it tends to offer the best house edge and is a great entry point for casual players. Its strength lies in the fact that it is not an automated game. Thus, every choice a player makes, from hit, stand, double, and split, can change the odds.
When choosing a game, it is best to look out for variations on the rules. Try to find paytables that give out 3:2 odds for a natural blackjack. Some that provide a 6:5 payout structure are tripling the house edge. It will also be easier to work out probability on games that have fewer decks, also known as shoes.
Why Does the House Always Win?
In an article published by The University of Melbourne, Australia, titled “The science of the casino: why the house always wins in the long run” and written by Milad Haghani, they discuss how you don’t see the house edge when playing. They notice that “You don’t see the house edge in the course of a few spins. But casinos don’t rely on a few spins. Over thousands of bets, the law of large numbers takes over.
"This is a fundamental idea in probability that implies the more times you repeat a game with fixed odds, the closer your results get to the true mathematical average. The short-term ups and downs flatten out, and the house edge asserts itself with near certainty. The law of large numbers is why casinos aren’t bothered by who wins this spin, or even tonight. They care about what happens over the next million bets.”
So treat pokies and table games as entertainment, not income. Set a budget before you start and stop when it's gone. RTP can't predict a single session, but it does show what a game costs you over time, so favour titles that display it.
Everything above is easier to put into practice when a casino shows the numbers up front. Vegastars lists RTP, minimum and maximum bets, and volatility for its games, so you can compare titles before you place a bet. Whichever operator you use, treat that as the minimum standard. If a game doesn't display its RTP, choose one that does. If an operator is not transparent, go elsewhere.
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer: Only those 18+ should gamble. It is not a way to make money, and should only be used as a form of entertainment. If you believe you may have gambling issues, use the tools provided by your operator, such as setting limits and self-excluding. You may also wish to get third-party help or assistance.